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How often you do place a bet on the draw ?
I'd be willing to wager (pun intended) that the answer would be....
"Not very often".
It is market that we, as punters, are most likely to overlook, which can, in turn, present us with very solid value if we know how to profile the right matches.
It is human psychological nature that we want to take a definitive position on something whether we are a fan or a bettor. We naturally try to a form an opinion which, in Football terms, is whether Team A or Team B will win, often overlooking the draw.
This can then have the unintended consequence of the draw price often being higher than the real probability of a game ending in a draw.
"Beware the investment activity that produces applause; the great moves are usually greeted by yawns" Warren Buffett
If we were to apply the above quote, {{ subscriber.first_name }}, by the great Warren Buffett, then he'd likely be talking about investing in draw betting on football.
In other words, "Great moves" like bets on draws would usually be greeted by "Yawns" from many punters.
With PK's X Bets strategy (X being the traditional symbol on the home win / draw / away win coupon (1X2)), we can see that PK's average odds are 3.51 on the draw, yet he is winning 35.44% of the time.
We can convert the odds into a percentage easily by using this formula =1/(3.51/100) which gives us an expected strike to break even of 28.49% - so we are winning almost 7% of the time more than we should be - that is a huuuuuge edge and explains the significant profits that PK is now able to pull in on a regular basis.
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Test On Nearly 2,000 Live Bets
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High Strike Rate, Draw Bets
Over 340 points Profit
At £10 stakes = £3,400 level stakes profit
At £50 stakes = £17,000 level stakes profits
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